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Target impact and expected outcomes.

The figures below are project targets and modelling assumptions from the technical annex. They show the scale and direction of the intervention; they should not be read as completed achievements.

35,000+primary beneficiary population in the project analysis
13,000 hacombined land development target
4 t/hamodelled average yield target under improved practices
400+young people targeted for extension training
Farm-level outcomes

More reliable production and stronger farmer services.

The production component is expected to improve access to water control, certified seed, mechanisation, agronomic support and markets.

Important distinction

Project targets indicate intended scale. Actual results will depend on implementation, adoption, climate conditions, market demand and other operational factors.

Production

Increase productivity and total production through improved water management, land development and stronger agronomic practices.

Income

Improve farmer income by raising productivity, reducing post-harvest losses and strengthening access to commercial buyers.

Resilience

Reduce exposure to rainfall variability, flooding, salinity and other climate risks through climate-smart infrastructure and practices.

Quality

Improve paddy handling, milling, grading and packaging so locally produced rice can compete more effectively in the market.

Jobs and skills

Create opportunities across mechanisation, extension, aggregation, transport, processing, marketing and support services.

Women and youth

Increase access to land, skills, value-addition activities, enterprise opportunities, finance and decision-making spaces.

Productivity model

Yield improvement is a central assumption.

The financial analysis uses a current yield range of roughly 1.2–2.0 tonnes per hectare and models average yields rising toward 4 tonnes per hectare under improved practices.

1.2–2.0 t/habaseline range used in the project model
4.0 t/hawith-project model target
Baseline low
1.2
Baseline high
2.0
Model target
4.0

Tonnes per hectare. This is an analytical target, not a guaranteed outcome.

People

Who the project is intended to reach.

Smallholder farmers

Farmers in Kambia and Port Loko are the core production beneficiaries, with planned support covering land, water, seed, machinery services and extension.

SMEs and service providers

Mechanisation providers, seed businesses, aggregators, processors, transporters and other enterprises are expected to participate in the value chain.

Women

The project design includes support for women-led cooperatives, value addition, financial inclusion and participation in higher-value parts of the chain.

Youth

Youth-focused support includes skills development, entrepreneurship and an incubation programme for extension-service delivery.

Processors and buyers

Higher and more consistent paddy volumes are intended to support better utilisation of milling infrastructure and stronger domestic sourcing.

Consumers

Improved milling quality and a more stable domestic supply are intended to strengthen access to competitive locally produced rice.

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